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Red119
145210.2
138872.3
Blue45
1018318.7
433.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9153020408010012014016011945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+82Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +66
18Coral scored#6
66Coral points20
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
96Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#2
8L3#1
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
119Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.32.8
62.765.4
Auto15.3
Teleop50.3
End6.7
red by 38.7
4
#26
33.60.6
30.930.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.0
End6.7
Second
1452
#29
10.22.8
9.612.3
Auto0.5
Teleop9.1
End0.6
blue by 8.4
18.70.6
18.617.9
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End8.7
Third
9.14.3
5.59.7
Auto0.8
Teleop9.0
End-0.8
red by 2.5
6.50.6
4.94.3
Auto1.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed