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Red134
822935.5
4414B39.6
528536.4
Blue169
35994.2
656048.2
97358.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86217050150200250300134169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+3
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave9
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points26
30Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +2
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
100Total teleop98
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#8
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
134Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.63.7
34.538.2
Auto6.3
Teleop31.5
End1.9
blue by 54.6
359
#4
94.21.4
89.287.8
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
Second
5285
#22
36.42.4
31.533.9
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End4.1
blue by 21.6
973
#11
58.01.4
55.353.9
Auto12.3
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Third
8229
#19
35.52.4
32.635.0
Auto7.2
Teleop25.9
End2.4
blue by 12.8
6560
#12
48.21.4
45.243.8
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed70%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned