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Red239
441493.4
441946.5
98779.8
Blue194
69659.5
715740.6
1323112.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219219195200205210215225230235239194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+33Teleop
+43Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave3
11Coral scored#7
56Coral points37
65Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +8
31Coral scored#31
112Coral points112
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
146Total teleop138
Reef
18L4#19
10L3#6
8L2#8
6L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
2Foul points0
239Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.41.9
90.091.9
Auto23.5
Teleop59.9
End10.0
blue by 19.1
112.51.0
110.6109.6
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
Second
987
#7
79.81.9
75.977.8
Auto19.7
Teleop50.1
End10.1
red by 20.3
696
#8
59.51.0
58.657.7
Auto12.5
Teleop44.9
End2.1
Third
4419
#13
46.51.9
42.644.5
Auto9.3
Teleop28.7
End8.5
red by 5.9
7157
#17
40.61.0
39.238.2
Auto6.7
Teleop28.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned