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Red205
351246.3
1018318.7
1323112.5
Blue97
4414B39.6
3512B25.3
441946.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2029905015025030020597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+68Teleop
+90Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
9Leave0
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points12
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
23Coral scored#14
83Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
107Total teleop71
Reef
11L4#7
9L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
18Foul points0
205Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.51.3
109.6110.9
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
red by 66.0
4419
#13
46.50.4
44.544.1
Auto9.3
Teleop28.7
End8.5
Second
46.31.3
40.141.4
Auto7.7
Teleop29.9
End8.6
red by 6.6
39.60.6
38.237.6
Auto6.3
Teleop31.5
End1.9
Third
18.71.3
17.919.2
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End8.7
blue by 6.7
25.30.6
20.720.1
Auto1.8
Teleop20.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned