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Red130
375920.6
715740.6
242954.9
Blue89
98779.8
800610.0
433.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118132020030040050013089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
16Coral scored#9
58Coral points33
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
88Total teleop47
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
130Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2429
#15
54.91.3
51.653.0
Auto8.9
Teleop37.3
End8.7
blue by 24.9
987
#7
79.81.9
77.875.8
Auto19.7
Teleop50.1
End10.1
Second
7157
#17
40.61.3
38.239.5
Auto6.7
Teleop28.4
End5.5
red by 7.0
4
#26
33.61.9
30.228.3
Auto6.9
Teleop20.0
End6.7
Third
3759
#23
20.61.3
20.521.8
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End1.6
red by 10.6
8006
#31
10.01.9
10.18.2
Auto1.3
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned