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Red219
347647.9
138872.3
656048.2
Blue96
386326.9
69659.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1719405015020025021996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+71Teleop
+93Endgame
+123Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
0Leave3
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points3
44Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +33
26Coral scored#20
95Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
119Total teleop86
Reef
13L4#9
10L3#6
8L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#24
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +123
30Foul points0
219Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.32.4
65.467.9
Auto15.3
Teleop50.3
End6.7
red by 12.8
696
#8
59.50.1
57.757.7
Auto12.5
Teleop44.9
End2.1
Second
6560
#12
48.22.4
43.846.2
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End7.8
red by 21.3
3863
#33
26.90.1
27.827.9
Auto3.8
Teleop19.4
End3.8
Third
47.92.4
43.245.6
Auto7.4
Teleop34.9
End5.6
red by 38.8
9.10.1
9.79.8
Auto0.8
Teleop9.0
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed