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Red140
441493.4
800537.4
6560B18.1
Blue52
145210.2
210225.5
528536.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16459010015020025014052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+92Teleop
+88Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave9
10Coral scored#1
48Coral points7
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +57
15Coral scored#4
55Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
77Total teleop20
Reef
12L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
30Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points0
140Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.40.0
91.991.9
Auto23.5
Teleop59.9
End10.0
red by 56.9
5285
#22
36.41.5
33.932.4
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End4.1
Second
8005
#10
37.40.0
31.331.4
Auto9.9
Teleop22.0
End5.5
red by 11.9
2102
#35
25.51.5
28.126.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.0
End7.4
Third
18.10.1
16.216.2
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.4
red by 7.9
1452
#29
10.21.5
12.310.8
Auto0.5
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed