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Red203
432239.2
265939.6
35994.2
Blue133
39941.6
97358.0
973B19.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174117050100150200250300203133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+82Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points26
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +71
24Coral scored#21
86Coral points77
4Processor algae#1
13Net algae#2
24Processor points6
52Net points8
76Algae points14
162Total teleop91
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#7
7L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
203Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#4
94.22.5
87.890.3
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
red by 36.2
973
#11
58.00.2
53.954.1
Auto12.3
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
2659
#16
39.62.5
32.434.9
Auto5.7
Teleop33.6
End0.3
blue by 2.0
399
#18
41.60.2
43.243.4
Auto9.1
Teleop28.2
End4.3
Third
4322
#20
39.22.5
32.234.7
Auto9.1
Teleop29.6
End0.5
red by 20.1
973B
#28
19.10.3
17.918.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned