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Red52
364720.0
392510.5
Blue170
114832.3
822935.5
908465.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111565010020025030052170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+58
Endgame+70
Fouls+118
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +55
6Coral scored#19
21Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
35Total teleop90
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +118
0Foul points48
52Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#21
20.01.3
16.918.2
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End2.4
blue by 45.7
65.70.4
62.762.2
Auto14.7
Teleop42.4
End8.6
Second
3925
#32
10.51.3
11.913.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 25.0
8229
#19
35.50.4
35.034.5
Auto7.2
Teleop25.9
End2.4
Third
6.51.3
4.35.5
Auto1.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 25.8
1148
#25
32.30.4
30.930.4
Auto5.7
Teleop21.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned