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Qual 642025 Tidal Tumble
Red127
656048.2
114832.3
242954.9
Blue160
528536.4
351246.3
908465.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140148050100200250300127160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+13
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave9
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points35
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +5
18Coral scored#17
63Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
85Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#7
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
127Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2429
#15
54.90.3
54.1→53.7
Auto8.9
Teleop37.3
End8.7
blue by 10.8
9084
#5
65.71.3
62.8→64.1
Auto14.7
Teleop42.4
End8.6
Second
6560
#12
48.20.3
46.6→46.3
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End7.8
red by 1.9
3512
#6
46.31.3
44.1→45.4
Auto7.7
Teleop29.9
End8.6
Third
1148
#25
32.30.3
31.1→30.7
Auto5.7
Teleop21.9
End4.7
blue by 4.1
5285
#22
36.41.3
34.0→35.3
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned