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Red143
441946.5
392510.5
35994.2
Blue109
347647.9
433.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17570050100150200250300143109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
18Coral scored#16
66Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
90Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#6
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
143Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#4
94.20.4
93.092.6
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
red by 46.4
47.91.9
44.946.7
Auto7.4
Teleop34.9
End5.6
Second
4419
#13
46.50.4
44.944.5
Auto9.3
Teleop28.7
End8.5
red by 12.9
4
#26
33.61.9
29.231.0
Auto6.9
Teleop20.0
End6.7
Third
3925
#32
10.50.4
10.910.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End3.6
red by 1.5
9.12.3
6.89.1
Auto0.8
Teleop9.0
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned