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Red192
97358.0
1323112.5
386326.9
Blue82
375920.6
210225.5
69659.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2309905015020025030035019282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+110Teleop
+110Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave0
8Coral scored#3
42Coral points16
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +75
24Coral scored#11
85Coral points40
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
24Processor points6
16Net points4
40Algae points10
125Total teleop50
Reef
11L4#5
11L3#4
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +110
0Foul points0
192Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.50.2
112.5112.3
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
red by 53.0
696
#8
59.51.8
58.756.9
Auto12.5
Teleop44.9
End2.1
Second
973
#11
58.00.2
55.755.4
Auto12.3
Teleop36.8
End9.0
red by 32.5
2102
#35
25.51.8
27.225.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.0
End7.4
Third
3863
#33
26.90.2
27.126.9
Auto3.8
Teleop19.4
End3.8
red by 6.3
3759
#23
20.61.8
22.420.6
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed