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Red247
1323112.5
39941.6
441493.4
Blue150
265939.6
656048.2
441946.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277115050150200250300350400247150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+107Teleop
+97Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
0Leave3
14Coral scored#5
68Coral points26
68Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +68
30Coral scored#19
109Coral points67
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
153Total teleop85
Reef
12L4#8
9L3#7
14L2#5
9L1 · trough#4
53Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +97
0Foul points0
247Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.50.0
112.3112.3
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
red by 64.3
6560
#12
48.20.5
46.346.7
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End7.8
Second
93.40.0
93.293.2
Auto23.5
Teleop59.9
End10.0
red by 46.9
4419
#13
46.50.5
44.545.0
Auto9.3
Teleop28.7
End8.5
Third
399
#18
41.60.0
41.541.5
Auto9.1
Teleop28.2
End4.3
red by 2.0
2659
#16
39.60.5
37.738.2
Auto5.7
Teleop33.6
End0.3