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Red211
908465.7
114832.3
35994.2
Blue188
265939.6
656048.2
441946.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21412550100150250300211188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave9
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points14
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
29Coral scored#26
103Coral points93
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
18Processor points24
12Net points12
30Algae points36
133Total teleop129
Reef
10L4#9
12L3#10
9L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points0
211Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#4
94.20.4
93.193.4
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
red by 46.0
6560
#12
48.21.3
47.048.2
Auto8.7
Teleop31.7
End7.8
Second
65.70.4
64.564.9
Auto14.7
Teleop42.4
End8.6
red by 19.2
4419
#13
46.51.3
45.246.5
Auto9.3
Teleop28.7
End8.5
Third
1148
#25
32.30.4
31.231.5
Auto5.7
Teleop21.9
End4.7
blue by 7.3
2659
#16
39.61.3
38.439.6
Auto5.7
Teleop33.6
End0.3