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Red264
1323112.5
39941.6
441493.4
Blue189
138872.3
822935.5
98779.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265185100150200250300350264189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+43Teleop
+63Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
12Coral scored#8
62Coral points38
68Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +22
29Coral scored#26
106Coral points94
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
24Processor points18
28Net points24
52Algae points42
158Total teleop136
Reef
10L4#10
13L3#10
10L2#8
8L1 · trough#6
52Game pieces#43
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +75
12Foul points0
264Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.50.1
112.3112.4
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
red by 32.7
987
#7
79.80.1
79.579.5
Auto19.7
Teleop50.1
End10.1
Second
93.40.1
93.293.3
Auto23.5
Teleop59.9
End10.0
red by 21.1
72.30.1
72.072.0
Auto15.3
Teleop50.3
End6.7
Third
399
#18
41.60.1
41.441.5
Auto9.1
Teleop28.2
End4.3
red by 6.2
8229
#19
35.50.1
35.235.2
Auto7.2
Teleop25.9
End2.4