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Red83
973B19.1
800537.4
364720.0
Blue155
528536.4
242954.9
347647.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6815505010020025083155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+56
Endgame+66
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
26Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +42
10Coral scored#20
35Coral points73
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
53Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#6
3L2#8
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points6
83Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8005
#10
37.40.2
37.337.4
Auto9.9
Teleop22.0
End5.5
blue by 17.4
2429
#15
54.90.3
54.254.5
Auto8.9
Teleop37.3
End8.7
Second
3647
#21
20.00.2
19.820.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End2.4
blue by 27.9
47.90.3
47.247.5
Auto7.4
Teleop34.9
End5.6
Third
973B
#28
19.10.2
18.919.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.7
blue by 17.3
5285
#22
36.40.3
35.836.0
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End4.1