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Red251
1323112.5
39941.6
441493.4
Blue154
69659.5
433.6
97358.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27314150100200250300350251154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+71Teleop
+91Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
10Coral scored#8
49Coral points41
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +57
31Coral scored#15
111Coral points54
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
24Processor points24
16Net points16
40Algae points40
151Total teleop94
Reef
15L4#9
9L3#8
9L2#3
8L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +97
6Foul points0
251Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.50.0
112.3112.3
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
red by 53.0
696
#8
59.50.2
57.657.8
Auto12.5
Teleop44.9
End2.1
Second
93.40.0
93.293.2
Auto23.5
Teleop59.9
End10.0
red by 35.4
973
#11
58.00.2
56.156.3
Auto12.3
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Third
399
#18
41.60.0
41.541.4
Auto9.1
Teleop28.2
End4.3
red by 8.0
4
#26
33.60.2
31.731.9
Auto6.9
Teleop20.0
End6.7