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Red69
732720.6
580528.7
416013.5
Blue33
39259.3
166128.8
741930.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69772040601001206933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+32Teleop
+34Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +39
12Coral scored#3
42Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
52Total teleop13
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
4Foul points2
69Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
#49
28.70.0
23.623.6
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End5.8
blue by 1.9
7419
#25
30.64.3
26.522.2
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End3.0
Second
7327
#41
20.60.0
17.917.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End1.8
blue by 8.2
1661
#20
28.82.9
25.522.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
Third
4160
#48
13.50.0
23.523.5
Auto2.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
red by 4.1
3925
#51
9.34.3
17.513.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed