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Red66
741930.6
162211.5
407936.7
Blue144
412335.1
693411.5
942116.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79410206010012014066144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+32
Endgame+30
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
3Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +15
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
59Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#7
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points48
66Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4079
#22
36.70.8
30.529.7
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End1.7
red by 1.6
4123
#21
35.14.1
18.222.3
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End1.2
Second
7419
#25
30.61.3
22.220.9
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End3.0
red by 13.6
9421
#10
16.94.1
11.916.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End-0.6
Third
1622
#32
11.50.9
16.215.3
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Level
6934
#36
11.54.1
11.916.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned