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Red51
501234.6
374913.7
418317.5
Blue24
388021.2
80608.5
676411.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836520401001201405124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+25Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +19
6Coral scored#3
23Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
37Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
51Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.62.4
20.017.6
Auto8.0
Teleop21.0
End5.6
red by 13.3
3880
#28
21.24.0
26.122.1
Auto6.3
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Second
4183
#44
17.52.4
24.722.4
Auto1.7
Teleop14.4
End1.4
red by 6.3
6764
#45
11.24.0
19.015.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Third
3749
#35
13.72.4
27.625.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End3.1
red by 5.1
8060
#47
8.54.0
15.011.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed