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Red123
113839.4
513624.1
908434.3
Blue61
263725.0
853313.5
586911.7
83%Model gave it17%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8860020408010012014012361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
18Coral scored#9
65Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
85Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
6Foul points6
123Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#15
39.44.5
25.530.0
Auto5.0
Teleop28.3
End6.1
red by 14.4
2637
#24
25.00.2
23.823.5
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End1.4
Second
9084
#13
34.34.5
28.833.3
Auto12.2
Teleop19.9
End2.2
red by 20.9
8533
#50
13.50.2
14.013.8
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.0
Third
5136
#27
24.14.5
22.527.0
Auto3.2
Teleop18.8
End2.1
red by 12.4
5869
#42
11.70.2
19.118.9
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed