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Red23
80064.6
12803.5
570017.6
Blue95
742643.8
732323.1
421.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598702040801001201402395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+70
Endgame+74
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +67
2Coral scored#17
7Coral points60
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
11Total teleop78
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#6
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
4Foul points2
23Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5700
#29
17.64.0
24.320.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
blue by 26.2
43.82.2
32.034.2
Auto8.3
Teleop30.0
End5.5
Second
8006
#43
4.64.0
13.99.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 18.5
7323
#33
23.12.2
17.619.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Third
1280
#52
3.54.0
14.110.1
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.4
End1.1
blue by 17.7
4
#18
21.21.5
20.822.3
Auto2.7
Teleop16.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed