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Red100
40196.0
166128.8
647923.5
Blue120
386354.4
351235.9
570017.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70108050150100120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
83Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points12
100Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#20
28.81.5
24.025.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
blue by 25.6
54.40.2
37.737.4
Auto8.6
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
6479
#17
23.52.1
22.224.3
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End3.0
blue by 12.5
35.90.3
28.328.0
Auto3.3
Teleop27.5
End5.0
Third
4019
#30
6.02.1
17.119.2
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End1.3
blue by 11.6
5700
#29
17.60.3
24.724.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned