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Red57
1069824.6
418317.5
942116.9
Blue28
65539.5
39259.3
332811.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65662040801001205728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+41Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
7Coral scored#2
26Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
34Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#2
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points12
57Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.68.8
25.917.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End5.9
red by 13.0
3328
#31
11.65.2
16.711.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Second
4183
#44
17.50.7
25.424.7
Auto1.7
Teleop14.4
End1.4
red by 8.0
6553
#46
9.55.2
17.812.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Third
9421
#10
16.90.7
14.013.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End-0.6
red by 7.6
3925
#51
9.35.2
22.717.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned