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Red96
1014721.7
502646.1
676411.2
Blue84
113839.4
741930.6
416013.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70830501001502009684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
74Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
2Foul points0
96Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.13.5
28.331.8
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End5.4
red by 6.7
1138
#15
39.41.4
24.125.5
Auto5.0
Teleop28.3
End6.1
Second
21.72.6
18.621.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.1
End0.4
blue by 8.9
7419
#25
30.61.4
25.126.5
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End3.0
Third
6764
#45
11.23.5
15.519.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 2.2
4160
#48
13.51.4
22.023.5
Auto2.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed