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Red100
502646.1
186813.3
580528.7
Blue65
732323.1
242940.0
840419.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7776506070809010010065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave9
7Coral scored#0
33Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
53Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
100Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.12.9
29.232.1
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End5.4
red by 6.0
2429
#16
40.00.8
33.632.8
Auto5.6
Teleop32.3
End2.2
Second
5805
#49
28.71.7
23.625.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End5.8
red by 5.6
7323
#33
23.10.8
19.819.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Third
1868
#39
13.32.9
21.224.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End2.6
blue by 6.6
8404
#34
19.80.8
18.517.8
Auto2.7
Teleop13.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed