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Red47
647923.5
551417.9
332811.6
Blue122
80064.6
441472.7
113839.4
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44121010015020047122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+69
Endgame+81
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +58
4Coral scored#14
14Coral points52
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
24Total teleop82
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#7
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
6Foul points0
47Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6479
#17
23.51.1
22.921.8
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End3.0
blue by 49.2
72.71.0
61.762.7
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End8.8
Second
5514
#12
17.91.1
15.914.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
blue by 21.5
1138
#15
39.41.6
30.031.6
Auto5.0
Teleop28.3
End6.1
Third
3328
#31
11.61.1
6.85.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End2.7
red by 7.0
8006
#43
4.61.6
9.911.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned