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Red113
647923.5
570017.6
448178.5
Blue106
501234.6
97155.0
580528.7
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1277850100150200113106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+3
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
0Processor points6
16Net points12
16Algae points18
51Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
18Foul points8
113Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.51.0
68.567.4
Auto19.7
Teleop49.6
End9.2
red by 23.4
971
#9
55.02.2
32.534.7
Auto7.3
Teleop40.7
End7.0
Second
6479
#17
23.51.7
21.820.1
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End3.0
blue by 11.1
34.62.2
20.422.6
Auto8.0
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
5700
#29
17.61.7
20.218.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
blue by 11.1
5805
#49
28.71.3
25.326.6
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned