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Red33
732323.1
80608.5
80064.6
Blue23
600013.7
39259.3
606012.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453202060801001203323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
3Coral scored#3
11Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
19Total teleop13
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points0
33Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7323
#33
23.11.8
19.017.3
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
red by 9.4
6000
#38
13.71.5
7.25.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Second
8060
#47
8.51.8
10.58.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End1.8
blue by 3.4
6060
#40
12.01.5
13.712.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Third
8006
#43
4.61.8
11.59.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 4.7
3925
#51
9.31.5
10.08.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed