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Red137
441472.7
741930.6
1014721.7
Blue61
166128.8
58927.3
853313.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12456010015020013761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+76Teleop
+64Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points6
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
18Coral scored#6
64Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
82Total teleop27
Reef
10L4#3
8L3#1
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
18Foul points6
137Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.71.0
62.763.6
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End8.8
red by 43.9
1661
#20
28.80.1
24.224.1
Auto8.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
Second
7419
#25
30.61.6
20.922.5
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End3.0
red by 3.2
589
#26
27.30.2
17.117.0
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End8.1
Third
21.71.0
21.021.9
Auto6.2
Teleop15.1
End0.4
red by 8.2
8533
#50
13.50.2
15.114.9
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned