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Red73
40196.0
325625.5
407936.7
Blue48
12803.5
65539.5
186813.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8037020601001201407348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +27
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
47Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
8Foul points20
73Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4079
#22
36.70.4
29.729.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End1.7
red by 23.4
1868
#39
13.31.6
24.122.5
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End2.6
Second
3256
#19
25.50.7
25.825.1
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 16.0
6553
#46
9.51.6
9.07.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Third
4019
#30
6.00.7
13.112.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End1.3
red by 2.5
1280
#52
3.51.6
6.95.2
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed