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Red45
977212.7
908434.3
263725.0
Blue71
418317.5
647923.5
741930.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8768204060801001201401604571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +36
5Coral scored#11
18Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
22Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
45Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9084
#13
34.33.6
36.232.6
Auto12.2
Teleop19.9
End2.2
red by 3.8
7419
#25
30.60.8
22.523.3
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End3.0
Second
2637
#24
25.03.6
26.422.9
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End1.4
red by 1.5
6479
#17
23.50.8
20.120.9
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End3.0
Third
9772
#11
12.72.1
14.312.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
blue by 4.8
4183
#44
17.50.8
21.121.9
Auto1.7
Teleop14.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed