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Red55
551417.9
351235.9
1014721.7
Blue16
606012.0
374913.7
65539.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7943020601001201405516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
6Coral scored#2
23Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
33Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points0
55Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.8
25.723.9
Auto3.3
Teleop27.5
End5.0
red by 22.3
3749
#35
13.72.8
21.118.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End3.1
Second
21.71.1
21.920.8
Auto6.2
Teleop15.1
End0.4
red by 9.7
6060
#40
12.02.8
12.39.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Third
5514
#12
17.91.8
17.816.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
red by 8.4
6553
#46
9.52.8
7.44.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed