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Red29
580528.7
12803.5
40196.0
Blue59
80608.5
416013.5
162211.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47500204060802959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
3Coral scored#4
11Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
19Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points18
29Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
#49
28.71.4
26.625.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End5.8
red by 15.3
4160
#48
13.51.6
19.517.9
Auto2.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Second
4019
#30
6.02.3
11.49.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End1.3
blue by 5.6
1622
#32
11.51.0
16.615.6
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Third
1280
#52
3.52.3
3.51.3
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.4
End1.1
blue by 5.0
8060
#47
8.51.6
10.48.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned