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Red108
853313.5
570017.6
97155.0
Blue56
840419.8
693411.5
80064.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7450020406010012014010856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+54Teleop
+58Endgame
+52Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
18Coral scored#6
63Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
87Total teleop33
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
6Foul points12
108Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#9
55.03.1
38.641.7
Auto7.3
Teleop40.7
End7.0
red by 35.2
8404
#34
19.80.7
18.317.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.7
End3.5
Second
5700
#29
17.63.1
13.917.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 6.1
6934
#36
11.50.7
16.715.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End-1.1
Third
8533
#50
13.53.1
13.216.3
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.0
red by 8.8
8006
#43
4.60.7
12.712.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed