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Red100
676411.2
113839.4
501234.6
Blue115
166128.8
441472.7
977212.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63118050100150100115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+25
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#16
40Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
60Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#10
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
100Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#15
39.43.5
29.533.0
Auto5.0
Teleop28.3
End6.1
blue by 33.3
72.70.6
65.866.4
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End8.8
Second
34.63.5
25.629.1
Auto8.0
Teleop21.0
End5.6
red by 5.8
1661
#20
28.80.6
25.025.6
Auto8.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
Third
6764
#45
11.23.5
11.014.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 1.5
9772
#11
12.70.6
12.212.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned