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Red30
586911.7
186813.3
39259.3
Blue102
351235.9
332811.6
741930.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5764020408010012030102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+72
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +48
3Coral scored#10
12Coral points36
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
12Total teleop60
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points14
30Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#39
13.32.9
19.016.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End2.6
blue by 22.6
35.93.4
23.927.2
Auto3.3
Teleop27.5
End5.0
Second
5869
#42
11.72.9
19.116.2
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 18.9
7419
#25
30.63.4
23.326.7
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End3.0
Third
3925
#51
9.32.9
12.59.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.8
blue by 2.3
3328
#31
11.63.4
7.610.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned