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Red125
448178.5
942116.9
551417.9
Blue136
412335.1
386354.4
1014721.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120104406080140160180200125136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points26
36Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +22
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points59
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
79Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#6
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points0
125Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.50.9
69.270.1
Auto19.7
Teleop49.6
End9.2
red by 24.1
54.42.5
43.746.2
Auto8.6
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
5514
#12
17.91.4
16.017.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
blue by 17.2
4123
#21
35.14.2
27.331.5
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End1.2
Third
9421
#10
16.91.4
15.617.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End-0.6
blue by 4.7
21.72.5
20.823.4
Auto6.2
Teleop15.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed