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Red49
263725.0
1069824.6
162211.5
Blue62
374913.7
732323.1
58927.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71520204060801001204962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+17
Endgame+21
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
3Coral scored#8
12Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
20Total teleop37
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
8Foul points0
49Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#24
25.02.5
22.920.4
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End1.4
blue by 2.4
589
#26
27.31.4
13.514.9
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End8.1
Second
24.62.5
24.922.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End5.9
red by 1.5
7323
#33
23.11.4
17.518.9
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Third
1622
#32
11.51.5
15.614.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 2.1
3749
#35
13.71.4
18.419.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned