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Red53
606012.0
501234.6
693411.5
Blue34
12803.5
732720.6
840419.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5935020801001205334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
6Coral scored#4
23Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
31Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
2Foul points4
53Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.1
29.129.0
Auto8.0
Teleop21.0
End5.6
red by 14.0
7327
#41
20.60.5
15.314.8
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Second
6060
#40
12.00.1
7.16.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 7.9
8404
#34
19.80.5
17.617.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.7
End3.5
Third
6934
#36
11.50.1
15.915.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End-1.1
red by 8.0
1280
#52
3.50.5
1.30.8
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed