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Red63
570017.6
332811.6
113839.4
Blue49
471111.4
416013.5
325625.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6666304050607080901006349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
48Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
2Foul points0
63Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#15
39.40.0
33.033.0
Auto5.0
Teleop28.3
End6.1
red by 13.9
3256
#19
25.51.3
25.624.3
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End1.2
Second
5700
#29
17.60.0
17.017.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 4.1
4160
#48
13.51.3
17.916.6
Auto2.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Third
3328
#31
11.60.0
10.910.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End2.7
red by 0.3
4711
#37
11.41.3
17.316.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed