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Red80
407936.7
600013.7
412335.1
Blue129
586911.7
441472.7
1016612.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510520406012014016080129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+37
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points23
34Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +40
7Coral scored#17
26Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
40Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#6
2L3#9
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points12
80Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4079
#22
36.70.3
30.530.8
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End1.7
blue by 36.0
72.71.2
66.467.6
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End8.8
Second
4123
#21
35.10.6
31.532.1
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End1.2
red by 23.0
12.02.0
10.512.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Third
6000
#38
13.70.6
10.010.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End2.9
red by 1.9
5869
#42
11.72.0
16.218.2
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned