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Red53
421.2
977212.7
80608.5
Blue78
551417.9
732720.6
586911.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625902040801001205378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+13
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
7Coral scored#9
25Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
35Total teleop43
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
0Cage & park8
0Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
6Foul points18
53Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#18
21.20.6
21.420.8
Auto2.7
Teleop16.8
End1.7
red by 0.6
7327
#41
20.60.5
17.417.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Second
9772
#11
12.70.6
14.013.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
blue by 5.2
5514
#12
17.90.5
17.117.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Third
8060
#47
8.50.8
15.815.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End1.8
blue by 3.2
5869
#42
11.70.5
18.619.1
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned