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Red48
840419.8
908434.3
412335.1
Blue19
600013.7
325625.5
12803.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9973204060801201401604819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +18
5Coral scored#2
18Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
24Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
14Foul points6
48Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4123
#21
35.15.9
24.118.2
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End1.2
red by 9.6
3256
#19
25.56.2
27.221.0
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End1.2
Second
9084
#13
34.35.9
34.728.8
Auto12.2
Teleop19.9
End2.2
red by 20.7
6000
#38
13.76.2
18.412.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Third
8404
#34
19.85.9
25.619.7
Auto2.7
Teleop13.7
End3.5
red by 16.3
1280
#52
3.56.2
20.414.1
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed