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Red137
448178.5
263725.0
388021.2
Blue62
471111.4
407936.7
80064.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1256005010015020013762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+69Teleop
+85Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave0
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points6
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
17Coral scored#9
60Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
82Total teleop44
Reef
11L4#4
5L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#12
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
2Foul points12
137Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.51.8
63.965.7
Auto19.7
Teleop49.6
End9.2
red by 41.8
4079
#22
36.71.1
32.631.6
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End1.7
Second
2637
#24
25.03.0
20.723.8
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End1.4
red by 13.6
4711
#37
11.41.5
15.013.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Third
3880
#28
21.23.0
23.126.1
Auto6.3
Teleop12.8
End2.2
red by 16.6
8006
#43
4.61.5
15.413.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned