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Red100
351235.9
58927.3
325625.5
Blue62
580528.7
853313.5
418317.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75610204010012014010062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+38Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
53Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
24Foul points2
100Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.1
27.228.3
Auto3.3
Teleop27.5
End5.0
red by 7.2
5805
#49
28.70.2
23.723.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End5.8
Second
589
#26
27.31.1
14.915.9
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End8.1
red by 9.8
4183
#44
17.50.3
16.917.2
Auto1.7
Teleop14.4
End1.4
Third
3256
#19
25.51.0
24.325.3
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 12.0
8533
#50
13.50.3
16.316.6
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned