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Red17
693411.5
586911.7
471111.4
Blue71
242940.0
606012.0
1069824.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507802040601001201401771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+54
Endgame+52
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +51
1Coral scored#11
4Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
4Total teleop55
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points2
17Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5869
#42
11.73.4
18.214.8
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 28.3
2429
#16
40.00.3
41.741.4
Auto5.6
Teleop32.3
End2.2
Second
6934
#36
11.53.4
15.812.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End-1.1
blue by 13.1
24.60.3
23.423.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End5.9
Third
4711
#37
11.43.4
16.012.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 0.6
6060
#40
12.00.3
6.96.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed