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Red160
386354.4
388021.2
407936.7
Blue136
97155.0
113839.4
732720.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104986080120140160160136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
32Coral points13
32Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +1
17Coral scored#18
62Coral points63
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
18Processor points18
20Net points20
38Algae points38
100Total teleop101
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#5
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
14Foul points2
160Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.43.6
46.850.3
Auto8.6
Teleop36.8
End9.0
blue by 0.7
971
#9
55.04.6
42.246.7
Auto7.3
Teleop40.7
End7.0
Second
4079
#22
36.73.6
30.834.4
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End1.7
blue by 2.7
1138
#15
39.44.6
33.037.5
Auto5.0
Teleop28.3
End6.1
Third
3880
#28
21.25.5
15.020.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.8
End2.2
red by 0.6
7327
#41
20.64.6
14.819.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned