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Red99
977212.7
551417.9
1016612.0
Blue69
166128.8
570017.6
186813.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496202040801009969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+16
Endgame+12
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
6Coral scored#8
22Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
28Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
50Foul points8
99Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5514
#12
17.90.2
18.919.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
blue by 10.9
1661
#20
28.80.2
26.526.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
Second
9772
#11
12.70.1
13.113.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
blue by 4.8
5700
#29
17.60.3
17.017.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
12.00.2
12.512.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 1.3
1868
#39
13.30.3
11.812.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed