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Red98
58927.3
742643.8
12803.5
Blue90
39259.3
647923.5
502646.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608020401001201409890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
45Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
98Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.83.6
40.544.1
Auto8.3
Teleop30.0
End5.5
blue by 2.2
46.12.0
40.542.5
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End5.4
Second
589
#26
27.33.6
15.919.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End8.1
red by 3.9
6479
#17
23.52.0
21.723.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End3.0
Third
1280
#52
3.53.6
0.84.4
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.4
End1.1
blue by 5.8
3925
#51
9.32.0
8.610.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned